La Liga · Regular Season - 3

Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction

AlavesAlaves
1 : 0FTSpain
VillarrealVillarreal
AutorRS7 Editorial Team

Football analysis, betting education and bookmaker reviews from the rs7sportsbetting editorial desk.

Publicado: 27 ago 2026Actualizado: 29 ago 2026, 21:57

Match preview

Alavés host Villarreal on Friday, 28 August at the Mendizorroza Stadium in Vitoria, as La Liga enters its third round. The Basques have made an impressive start to the season, thrashing Getafe 3-0 before drawing 1-1 away to Rayo Vallecano. Under manager Kike Sánchez Flores, Alavés finished pre-season unbeaten and appear well-organised defensively. Villarreal, meanwhile, have drawn both their opening matches 2-2, showing attacking flair but defensive vulnerabilities. New head coach Iñigo Pérez is still finding the right balance, with the team conceding four goals across their first two games despite scoring the same number.

Form and Head-to-Head

Alavés have won five of their last ten matches and conceded just 0.58 goals per game on average at home. Villarreal's away form shows five wins from ten with 1.93 goals scored per game but also 1.21 conceded. The recent head-to-head record is evenly split, with three draws and three decisive results across their last six meetings. Notably, Villarreal have failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 consecutive matches, while Alavés have kept three clean sheets in their previous five La Liga outings. Villarreal have not beaten Alavés away from home since January 2020.

Best Bet

Total Over 2.5 Goals offers compelling value given the contrasting defensive records and attacking potential on display. Alavés have conceded just one goal in two matches, but Villarreal's inability to maintain defensive shape—evidenced by their 16-game streak without a clean sheet—suggests goals will flow. With Alavés averaging 1.44 goals at home and Villarreal averaging 1.93 away, the conditions favour an entertaining encounter. Over 2.5 is available at 1.68 with 1xBet.

Odds to Watch

The match winner market reflects a competitive fixture. Alavés are priced at 3.06 with Melbet, while Villarreal sit at 2.27 with the same operator. The draw is available at 3.48 with Melbet or 3.62 with 1xBet. Given Villarreal's recent defensive struggles and Alavés' solid start, backing the hosts or the over-goals market presents the more attractive propositions for entertainment purposes.

Alaves vs Villarreal Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet3.133.482.23Place a bet
1xBet3.183.582.38Place a bet
1Win33.52.22Place a bet
Mostbet3.073.52.36Place a bet
22Bet3.253.622.32Place a bet
Best odds3.253.622.38
Average3.133.542.30
Lowest odds3.003.482.22
Compare odds

1X2 prediction for Alaves vs Villarreal

Date and time 28 Aug 2026, 19:30

1X222.23
Place a bet on this match

Alaves vs Villarreal Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

AlavesAlavesLast matchesVillarrealVillarreal
0%Over 0.5 goals0%
0%Over 1.5 goals0%
0%Over 2.5 goals0%
0%Over 3.5 goals0%
0%BTTS0%
0%Last 5 BTTS0%

Head to Head AlavesVillarreal

No recent head-to-head meetings are stored for these teams yet.

0% W00% D — 00% W0

No recent matches in the current snapshot.

0%Over 0.50%
0%Over 1.50%
0%Over 2.50%
0%BTTS0%
0%Alaves over 0.50%

Betting profits Alaves vs Villarreal

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Alaves

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-0.57615
Match WinnerDraw+5.24615
Match WinnerLose-7.88315
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.801012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-5.97212
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+1.791114
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.67714
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+2.20815
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-2.04715
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-0.83714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.261114
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-2.2929
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.2979
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+1.0033
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.8433
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.3833
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-3.0003
Both Teams ScoreYes-1.0001
Both Teams ScoreNo+1.0611

Villarreal

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+0.81613
Match WinnerDraw-1.77313
Match WinnerLose-2.93413
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.8133
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.85910
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-3.84410
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+0.88812
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-3.22412
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+1.58913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-2.99713
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+1.55613
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-2.60713
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+2.2346
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.4346
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+1.2712
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.5612

Match statistics

2525%Possession %75%75
0.8139%Expected goals61%1.28
933%Total shots67%18
225%Shots on target75%6
754%Shots off target46%6
536%Corners64%9
1565%Fouls35%8
360%Yellow cards40%2
19624%Passes76%630
14521%Accurate passes79%559
686%Saves14%1
556%Offsides44%4

Key events

  • 31'
    Lucas BoyéGoal · assist Ángel Pérez
    Alaves
  • 45+2'
    Q. Sanchez FloresYellow card
    Alaves
  • 48'
    Abderrahman RebbachYellow card
    Alaves
  • 54'
    Toni MartínezMariano DíazSubstitution
    Alaves
  • 54'
    Mikel RodriguezYoussef EnriquezSubstitution
    Alaves
  • 62'
    S. ComesanaA. PerezSubstitution
    Villarreal
  • 62'
    S. MourinoA. FreemanSubstitution
    Villarreal
  • 63'
    T. BuchananA. MoleiroSubstitution
    Villarreal
  • 70'
    G. MorenoI. AkhomachSubstitution
    Villarreal
  • 71'
    Abderrahman RebbachDenis SuárezSubstitution
    Alaves
  • 71'
    Ángel PérezCarlos BenavídezSubstitution
    Alaves
  • 82'
    G. MikautadzeT. OluwaseyiSubstitution
    Villarreal
  • 82'
    Lucas BoyéA. ManasSubstitution
    Alaves
  • 86'
    N. PepeYellow card
    Villarreal
  • 89'
    Mariano DíazYellow card
    Alaves
  • 90+2'
    R. VeigaYellow card
    Villarreal
  • 90+2'
    Antonio SiveraYellow card
    Alaves

AlavesLast matches Alaves

Alaves does not have enough recent results in the current snapshot yet.

0% W00% D — 00% L0

No recent matches in the current snapshot.

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
0
Goals / game
0.0
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
BTTS
0%

VillarrealLast matches Villarreal

Villarreal does not have enough recent results in the current snapshot yet.

0% W00% D — 00% L0

No recent matches in the current snapshot.

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
0
Goals / game
0.0
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
BTTS
0%

Alaves vs Villarreal Standings

League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.

Season statistic Alaves vs Villarreal

Season totals appear after both sides have stored league or recent matches.

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
  • Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain

Lineups

AlavesAlaves

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

VillarrealVillarreal

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

AlavesAlaves

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

VillarrealVillarreal

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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