English Premier League · Regular Season - 1

Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction

NewcastleNewcastle
2 : 2FTEngland
LiverpoolLiverpool
AutorRS7 Editorial Team

Football analysis, betting education and bookmaker reviews from the rs7sportsbetting editorial desk.

Publicado: 23 ago 2026Actualizado: 25 ago 2026, 00:27

Match preview

Newcastle United host Liverpool at St James' Park on August 23rd in the opening round of the Premier League season. Both clubs enter under new management: Matthias Jaissle takes charge of the Magpies following Eddie Howe's departure, while Andoni Iraola replaces Arne Slot at Anfield. The fixture carries extra intrigue with significant squad overhauls at both ends. Newcastle have lost key midfielders Bruno Guimarães and Sandro Tonali, while Joelinton remains sidelined through injury. Liverpool, meanwhile, have restructured their defence with new arrivals but are without several established players including Mohamed Salah. Both sides showed mixed preseason form, with Newcastle conceding in every friendly and Liverpool alternating between defensive solidity and leaky performances.

Form and Head-to-Head

Liverpool hold a commanding historical advantage, unbeaten in their last 19 Premier League meetings with Newcastle and winning 14 of those encounters. Recent head-to-head records suggest attacking intent from both sides—at least five goals were scored in four of the last six meetings. Newcastle's home form shows they score and concede regularly, averaging 1.40 goals for and 1.62 against across their last ten matches. Liverpool's away record is similarly open, with 1.76 goals scored and 1.88 conceded on average. Both teams have demonstrated a tendency to concede, particularly Newcastle at home where defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern under their new tactical setup.

Best Bet

Both Teams to Score – Yes emerges as the standout selection. Newcastle's home record shows both teams finding the net in each of their last ten league matches at St James' Park. Liverpool, despite squad changes, have conceded in nine of their last ten outings. With Newcastle operating under a new manager promising vertical, aggressive football and Liverpool possessing attacking talent in Diogo Jota, Luis Díaz, and Mohamed Salah's replacement options, the conditions favour goals at both ends. At Mostbet, this market offers attractive value for a fixture where defensive solidity appears secondary to attacking ambition from both camps.

Odds to Watch

Liverpool's victory is priced at 1.87 with Mostbet, reflecting their superior historical record and more settled squad composition despite summer changes. The draw sits at 3.9, while a Newcastle win is available at 3.85. Given Liverpool's unbeaten run against this opponent and their experience in high-pressure openers, the away win represents the most backed outcome. However, Newcastle's home advantage and attacking intent under Jaissle could produce value in the draw, particularly if both sides cancel each other out during an evenly-contested opening fixture. Over 3.0 goals aligns with the attacking patterns both teams have displayed in recent matches.

Newcastle vs Liverpool Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet3.823.821.88Place a bet
1xBet3.983.981.95Place a bet
1Win3.53.851.9Place a bet
Mostbet3.863.761.9Place a bet
Best odds3.983.981.95
Average3.793.851.91
Lowest odds3.503.761.88
Compare odds

1X2 prediction for Newcastle vs Liverpool

Date and time 23 Aug 2026, 15:30

1X221.88
Place a bet on this match

Newcastle vs Liverpool Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

NewcastleNewcastleLast matchesLiverpoolLiverpool
0%Over 0.5 goals0%
0%Over 1.5 goals0%
0%Over 2.5 goals0%
0%Over 3.5 goals0%
0%BTTS0%
0%Last 5 BTTS0%

Head to Head NewcastleLiverpool

No recent head-to-head meetings are stored for these teams yet.

0% W00% D — 00% W0

No recent matches in the current snapshot.

0%Over 0.50%
0%Over 1.50%
0%Over 2.50%
0%BTTS0%
0%Newcastle over 0.50%

Betting profits Newcastle vs Liverpool

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Newcastle

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-6.99314
Match WinnerDraw+1.98314
Match WinnerLose+10.88814
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.2911
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+1.17910
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-4.11310
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+2.01913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-3.34413
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-0.90914
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.481014
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-3.88414
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.971014
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-5.0027
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+2.1477
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.5211
Both Teams ScoreYes+0.8911
Both Teams ScoreNo-1.0001

Liverpool

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-7.42313
Match WinnerDraw-1.06313
Match WinnerLose+7.99713
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.6933
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-1.81713
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+3.16613
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-0.84713
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.95713
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+1.13613
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.38713
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.9733
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+1.2988
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-4.0048
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+1.96511
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.66711

Match statistics

3939%Possession %61%61
1.4239%Expected goals61%2.23
1333%Total shots68%27
436%Shots on target64%7
556%Shots off target44%4
225%Corners75%6
1652%Fouls48%15
563%Yellow cards38%3
29340%Passes60%440
22338%Accurate passes62%370
563%Saves38%3
267%Offsides33%1

Key events

  • 5'
    Goal
    Newcastle
  • 25'
    Y. WissaYellow card
    Newcastle
  • 30'
    M. KerkezYellow card
    Liverpool
  • 34'
    L. MileyYellow card
    Newcastle
  • 55'
    C. GakpoGoal
    Liverpool
  • 56'
    Sean SteurJ. RamseySubstitution
    Newcastle
  • 56'
    W. OsulaJ. WillockSubstitution
    Newcastle
  • 57'
    J. WillockGoal · assist Y. Wissa
    Newcastle
  • 63'
    R. NgumohaV. MunozSubstitution
    Liverpool
  • 63'
    F. WirtzA. Mac AllisterSubstitution
    Liverpool
  • 65'
    J. RamseyYellow card
    Newcastle
  • 70'
    Jérémy JacquetR. AraujoSubstitution
    Liverpool
  • 76'
    A. ElangaJ. MurphySubstitution
    Newcastle
  • 76'
    L. MileyA. BambaSubstitution
    Newcastle
  • 78'
    R. GravenberchL. KoumasSubstitution
    Liverpool
  • 79'
    J. MurphyYellow card
    Newcastle
  • 90'
    V. van DijkYellow card
    Liverpool
  • 90+3'
    L. HorníčekYellow card
    Newcastle
  • 90+5'
    Y. WissaF. SchärSubstitution
    Newcastle
  • 90+9'
    D. SzoboszlaiPenalty
    Liverpool

NewcastleLast matches Newcastle

Newcastle does not have enough recent results in the current snapshot yet.

0% W00% D — 00% L0

No recent matches in the current snapshot.

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
0
Goals / game
0.0
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
BTTS
0%

LiverpoolLast matches Liverpool

Liverpool does not have enough recent results in the current snapshot yet.

0% W00% D — 00% L0

No recent matches in the current snapshot.

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
0
Goals / game
0.0
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
BTTS
0%

Newcastle vs Liverpool Standings

League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.

Season statistic Newcastle vs Liverpool

Season totals appear after both sides have stored league or recent matches.

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue St James' Park, Newcastle
  • Referee Stuart Attwell, England

Lineups

NewcastleNewcastle

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

NewcastleNewcastle

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

LiverpoolLiverpool

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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